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日元預測:超越低點

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發表於 2022-5-5 16:37:24 | 顯示全部樓層 |閱讀模式
日元 (JPY) 是世界第三大經濟體日本的官方貨幣。它也是第三大交易貨幣,佔所有外匯交易的 16.8%,僅次於美元 (USD) 和歐元 (EUR)。

是什麼推動了 2021 年的日元匯率?隨著我們進入 2022 年,日元兌其他主要貨幣的前景如何?我們通過最新分析師的預測來回答這些問題,並著眼於交易日元時應考慮的事項。

日元分析:最新表現
日元被視為避險貨幣,在避險環境中表現強勁。鑑於 Covid-19 大流行仍然對全球經濟構成迫在眉睫的威脅,人們可能預計日元會表現良好。

然而,該國長期封鎖、經濟復甦緩慢和政治動盪意味著日元跌至多年低點,成為今年表現最差的 G10 貨幣。

11 月 26 日,美元兌日元匯率升至 115.48,日元兌美元匯率觸及 2017 年以來的最低水平。同樣,兌澳元匯率觸及 2018 年以來的最低點,10 月 25 日澳元兌日元匯率為 86.26。

相對於歐元 (EUR),日元的過山車走勢更為明顯。在 2021 年 5 月觸及 2018 年以來的最低水平(134.12)後,日元強勁反彈,然後在 10 月再次下跌。然而,它又開始獲得力量。

過去一周,隨著 Covid-19 的新 Omicron 變體從南非出現以及世界其他地區出現病例記錄的消息,該貨幣大幅回落。

12 月 1 日,美元兌日元跌至 113.26,歐元兌日元跌至 128.45,澳元兌日元跌至 80.63。 日元前景:主要價格驅動因素
當情緒低落和避險情緒占主導地位時,避險貨幣的地位使投資者湧向日元。過去一周,由於 Omicron 變體推動了全球市場在經濟復甦方面的不確定性,日元開始走強。

除了全球因素外,有關當地政治和經濟增長趨勢的消息也在日元的走勢中發揮著重要作用。其動蕩的一年的一個關鍵原因是不確定的政治氣氛和國內經濟復甦步履蹣跚。

鑑於日本央行 (BOJ) 維持寬鬆政策,並且在過去 25 年的大部分時間裡一直這樣做,該貨幣通常構成 套利交易的一部分。也就是說,投資者藉入日元來購買其他利率較高的貨幣。

日元的外匯交易預測在短期內似乎對日元更為有利,主要是因為兩個因素——Omicron 造成的不確定性以及由於其嚴重超賣而具有吸引力的估值。

花旗銀行的分析師表示,如果主要經濟體在冬季重新進入封鎖狀態,並且央行的反應是鴿派的,那麼“2020 年的劇本可能會被淘汰”。

日元在 2020 年大幅上漲,兌美元和澳元觸及多年高位,而兌英鎊則觸及近五年高位,因為全球都在努力尋找超越 Covid-19 的方法。

DBS Research 外彙和信貸策略師 Chang Wei Liang 表示,日元是 G10 中“最便宜的”貨幣之一,與英鎊和加元一樣。在最近的一份報告中,星展銀行建議買入日元,因為其估值疲軟。ANZ Research 也繼續看多日元。

DBS Research的另一份報告也指出了積極的日元預測。根據該報告,預計日本明年的增長前景將有所改善。 “新首相岸田文雄明年可能會推進他承諾的一些改革。儘管失去了一些席位,執政的自民黨(LDP)在 10 月的下議院選舉中仍保住了多數席位。這場勝利將確保政治現狀進入 2022 年 7 月的上議院選舉,”該說明補充道。

日幣還會跌嗎2022:分析師怎麼說
美元/日元技術分析和預測
分析師表示,從短期來看,日元不太可能跌回 11 月初的多年低點。據 ING 稱,美元兌日元匯率預計到 2021 年底將達到 113,並在 2022 年第一季度小幅攀升至 114。

據新加坡大華銀行稱,未來三週日元將上漲,將美元/日元推向支撐位 112.70。然而,它將在未來三個月開始失去動能,但在 114.20 將再次出現“強勁阻力”。
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:34:42
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:37:34
Go to https://sites.google.com/view/paramountnetworkactivatecode/ , input your device's code, then finish the activation by logging in using your TV provider login information.
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:41:34
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:44:46
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:47:15
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:50:46
You can watch YouTube on a TV instead of the small screen of a smartphone. using https://sites.google.com/view/yt-beactivate/  And this article is about how YouTube's simple features can make watching videos more convenient and easier. The YouTube app is compatible with a wide range of Smart Devices.
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:52:03
https://sites.google.com/view/wwwytbeactivate/  is a web address used to link your YouTube account with various devices like smart TVs and gaming consoles, enabling seamless video streaming.
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:54:06
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夜尿頻尿怎麼辦  發表於 2024-7-1 19:56:05
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